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Bitcoin wallets absorb 4.37M BTC as network activity flips to 'bull phase’
Bitcoin long-term wallets have absorbed over 4.37 million BTC, indicating sustained supply reduction and a potential precursor to a bull market phase. The Bitcoin network activity index has entered a 'bull phase,' signaling increased network usage and potentially stronger market sentiment. Reduced inflows from centralized exchanges and a decrease in active addresses suggest a shift towards long-term holding, tightening liquid supply and reducing short-term trading pressure. Despite low active address momentum, historical patterns suggest this can align with profitable accumulation phases for long-term holders.
Democrats question CFTC chair on insider trading in prediction markets
US House members are questioning the CFTC's oversight of insider trading on prediction markets, signaling potential regulatory scrutiny that could impact platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. While the CFTC affirmed its authority over prediction markets, concerns about "morally obscene" event contracts and suspicious trades suggest a heightened risk of regulatory action or new legislation. The ongoing legal battles and congressional inquiries into prediction markets indicate a developing regulatory landscape that traders should monitor closely for potential impacts on market access and operation.
Spot Bitcoin ETF inflows top $471M but BTC is pinned under $70K: Here’s why
Despite strong $471 million ETF inflows, Bitcoin failed to break $70,000 due to significant selling pressure from public miners and broader geopolitical concerns. Public miners like MARA and RIOT are liquidating BTC reserves, potentially to manage debt or pivot to AI infrastructure, creating a persistent overhang on the market. The options market shows a cautious sentiment with a 17% put premium, indicating traders are actively seeking downside protection rather than anticipating a significant upward move. While ETF inflows are positive, the inability of BTC to sustain higher levels suggests that current institutional demand may not be sufficient to overcome selling pressure from miners and macro-economic uncertainties.
Americans lost $11B to crypto scams in 2025, says FBI
Americans lost over $11 billion to crypto scams in 2025, highlighting significant risks for retail investors and underscoring the need for enhanced security measures. The FBI's report indicates a concerning trend of minors being targeted in crypto scams, resulting in substantial financial losses and raising awareness about vulnerabilities in younger demographics. Investment scams accounted for the highest percentage of crypto-related losses, suggesting that sophisticated fraudulent schemes continue to exploit investor confidence in digital assets. Despite efforts like Operation Level Up, the persistent volume of crypto scams indicates ongoing challenges in combating illicit activities within the digital asset space.
Bitcoin holds $67K support as data exposes price to sentiment divergence
Despite persistent extreme fear sentiment, Bitcoin's price stability above $67,000, supported by strong institutional ETF inflows and accumulator address demand, suggests underlying resilience and potential for a bullish continuation. The divergence between bearish sentiment and BTC's price action, coupled with significant institutional accumulation in March, indicates that market participants are absorbing selling pressure, potentially setting the stage for a retest of higher price levels. While leveraged trading contributed to recent price pumps, the sustained demand from long-term holders and ETF inflows provides a more robust foundation, suggesting that short-term volatility may not derail the broader upward trend if $67,000 support holds.
US prosecutors reject Tornado Cash co-founder‘s argument for dismissal
US prosecutors are pushing back against Tornado Cash co-founder Roman Storm's defense arguments, indicating a continued legal battle that could set precedents for developer liability. The rejection of Storm's motion for dismissal suggests prosecutors are determined to pursue charges related to money laundering and sanctions violations, potentially leading to a retrial. The ongoing legal proceedings for Tornado Cash highlight the evolving regulatory landscape and the risks developers face when creating open-source code used in decentralized applications.
Split Capital winds down as founder joins stablecoin startup Plasma
The winding down of Split Capital, a profitable hedge fund, signals a potential shift in crypto market dynamics away from momentum-based trading strategies. Founder Zaheer Ebtikar's move to Plasma, a stablecoin infrastructure startup, suggests a strategic pivot towards foundational financial system development over speculative trading. The closure of a successful hedge fund highlights broader challenges within the crypto hedge fund sector, potentially indicating a need for adaptation to evolving market conditions. Ebtikar's conviction in Plasma's stablecoin vision, backed by significant funding and strategic investors, positions the startup as a key player in the next phase of crypto's evolution.
Polymarket bags 97% of onchain prediction market fees after pricing overhaul
Polymarket's recent pricing overhaul has dramatically boosted its fee generation, positioning it as a top-tier DeFi protocol with a significant share of the prediction market revenue. The substantial fee generation, coupled with a $600 million investment from ICE, signals growing institutional interest in on-chain prediction markets, despite ongoing regulatory scrutiny. Polymarket's transition to a new USDC-backed token and its continued focus on high-volume markets suggest a strategic move to enhance stability and user engagement. Despite strong revenue growth and institutional backing, regulatory challenges from various jurisdictions pose a persistent risk to Polymarket's operational expansion.
Bitcoin waits at $68K as hours tick down to Iran deadline
Bitcoin is consolidating near its 200-week EMA around $68,300, indicating market indecision as traders await geopolitical developments and potential escalations with Iran. Despite heightened geopolitical tensions and rhetoric, both US stocks and Bitcoin have shown resilience, suggesting that markets may be discounting immediate risk and have priced in previous patterns of escalation and de-escalation. Technical analysis suggests potential downside for Bitcoin, with overhead resistance at $72,000 and a trend indicating a sweep of lower liquidity levels, which could strengthen a reversal if it occurs.
CME Group expands crypto futures with Avalanche and Sui contracts
CME Group's expansion into Avalanche and Sui futures signals growing institutional demand for regulated altcoin derivatives, potentially increasing liquidity and price discovery for these assets. The launch of new futures contracts by a major derivatives exchange like CME Group can attract TradFi capital and validate underlying blockchain ecosystems, suggesting a positive outlook for AVAX and SUI adoption. CME Group's move to offer both standard and micro-sized contracts for AVAX and SUI aims to cater to a broader range of market participants, from large institutions to retail traders, enhancing accessibility to these crypto derivatives.
It's time to turn prediction markets into a decision-making operating system
Prediction markets can evolve from betting casinos to decision operating systems. Futarchy replaces manual governance with market-priced causal logic gates.
Bitcoin price risks '$15K shakeout' in the next 5 months, BTC analyst warns
Bitcoin's Tactical Bull-Bear Sentiment Index (TBBI) has entered an extreme bearish zone, historically preceding a final shakeout before recovery. Analysts suggest a potential downside target for BTC near $54,000, aligning with its realized price, indicating a possible final capitulation event. Despite bearish indicators, significant Bitcoin accumulation by entities like Strategy could limit downside and potentially invalidate the most severe price drop scenarios. The market is weighing conflicting signals: late-stage bear market indicators pointing to further downside versus strong accumulation potentially signaling an impending reversal.
Ether treasuries need liquid staking edge to beat ETFs, says Lido exec
Lido’s institutional lead argues that more crypto treasury companies will need to incorporate liquid staking to outperform the returns generated by staked Ether ETFs.
South Korea orders crypto exchanges to verify holdings every 5 minutes
South Korea's Financial Services Commission has mandated a five-minute reconciliation cycle for crypto exchanges, significantly increasing operational oversight following the Bithumb payout incident. The new regulations require exchanges to implement automated trading halt systems and enhance internal controls for high-risk processes, aiming to prevent future errors and protect user assets. These stricter regulatory measures are likely to increase compliance costs for South Korean exchanges and could influence operational standards globally. The Bithumb IPO delay to post-2028 and Naver Financial's share swap delay highlight ongoing restructuring and regulatory pressures within the South Korean crypto market.
XRP price risks drop to $1.10 as supply in profit drops to 17-month lows
XRP's profitable supply dropping to 17-month lows suggests significant capitulation, potentially signaling a continuation of the downtrend toward the $1.10 target. The breakdown of the rising wedge pattern on the daily chart, coupled with failed retests of resistance levels, reinforces the bearish outlook for XRP in the short term. Despite current bearish signals, the extremely low MVRV indicates that many holders are already experiencing severe drawdowns, which could present a contrarian buying opportunity if sentiment shifts.
How Operation Atlantic aims to disrupt crypto scam networks in real time
Operation Atlantic signifies a strategic shift by law enforcement towards proactive, real-time disruption of crypto scams, moving beyond traditional post-incident investigations. The focus on approval phishing highlights a critical vulnerability where users unknowingly grant broad permissions, enabling scammers to drain wallets without direct key theft. Enhanced public-private coordination, involving analytics firms and exchanges, is crucial for the success of real-time intervention, increasing expectations for platform involvement in fraud detection. While full asset recovery remains challenging due to crypto's nature, this operation aims to significantly reduce losses by intervening during the early stages of fraudulent transactions.
Binance adds spot trading guardrails to limit abnormal executions
Binance is implementing a new spot trading rule, the Spot Price Range Execution Rule (PRER), effective April 14 to mitigate extreme price deviations during high volatility and low liquidity. This exchange-level mechanism aims to protect traders from distorted executions by restricting orders outside dynamic price bands, potentially improving market stability for all participants. While not directly linked to past events, the PRER implementation addresses known risks highlighted during market dislocations, suggesting a proactive approach to risk management by Binance.
Crypto investment inflows rebound as XRP tops weekly gains of $224M
Global crypto ETPs saw a rebound with $224 million in inflows last week, reversing the previous week's outflows and bringing year-to-date inflows to $1.2 billion. XRP led the inflows with $120 million, its largest weekly gain since December 2025, while Bitcoin ETPs followed with $107 million, though US spot Bitcoin ETFs contributed minimally. Ether ETPs experienced $53 million in outflows, continuing a negative trend attributed to regulatory uncertainty surrounding stablecoins and potential legislation like the CLARITY Act. Despite a brief rebound, mixed macro data and hawkish policy expectations tempered overall sentiment, suggesting a cautious market environment for digital asset investments.
Argentine banks testing JPMorgan’s JPM Coin to speed up settlements: Report
Argentine banks are piloting JPMorgan's JPM Coin for settlement, indicating institutional adoption of blockchain for efficiency gains despite local regulatory hurdles. The tests focus on recording and reconciling operations via blockchain, not on moving real funds, suggesting a gradual integration of DLT into traditional finance rather than immediate crypto adoption. This development highlights the growing interest in blockchain-based settlement solutions in Latin America, a region experiencing significant crypto market growth, potentially signaling future demand for such infrastructure.
Bitcoin RSI 'nearly perfectly' copying end of 2022 bear market: Analysis
Bitcoin's stochastic RSI is exhibiting patterns that closely mirror the end of the 2022 bear market, suggesting a potential bottoming phase and subsequent recovery. The current price action and indicator readings are being compared to the early 2023 rebound, implying that historical patterns could signal a bullish continuation if similar conditions persist. While technical indicators show bullish parallels to past recoveries, traders should monitor for a potential bear flag breakdown on the daily chart, which could negate the optimistic outlook. The analysis highlights the importance of the weekly standard RSI for potential bullish divergence, a signal that previously coincided with significant price bottoms.
